Professor who predicted the Iran war now reveals which party will dominate the midterms
Jiang Xueqin, a Chinese-Canadian educator and writer, became a viral sensation after he correctly predicted Donald Trump’s presidential win and the war in Iran on his YouTube channel, Predictive History, which has amassed 2.54 million subscribers in just three years. Now, the man dubbed “China’s Nostradamus” has dropped his explosive predictions for the upcoming midterm elections.
The Root previously reported how Xueqin forecasted Trump would pick JD Vance—a first-term U.S. senator from Ohio—as his running mate in a YouTube video in May 2024. Just two months later, in July 2024, Trump officially announced Vance as his vice presidential selection.
If that is not enough to convince you, he also predicted how President Trump would justify attacking Iran—almost word for word, bar for bar—two years before the U.S. and Israel ultimately struck the nation.
Now, for the Yale-educated professor, the upcoming election is merely a symptom of a domestic collapse that is already well underway. During an appearance on the Jack Neel Podcast, the predictive historian warned that the midterms “will not go the way people expect them to go,” pointing directly to the battle over the SAVE America Act, which would direct states to remove non-citizens from voter rolls and mandate voter ID.
As Republicans push for national voter ID mandates to secure the ballot box, Xueqin believes the act could trigger unprecedented voter intimidation.
“Donald Trump, Republicans are trying to pass something called the SAVE America Act,” Xueqin said at the 1:11:23 mark. “They want voter ID. Now, the Democrats are saying that voter ID is akin to voter suppression; the reason why is if you have voter ID laws then you need ICE officers in the polling stations and we know what ICE is like. We can imagine there will be intimidation, there’ll be some fraud going on in November.”
Zooming out from the midterm chaos, Xueqin argues that the ballot box cannot stop a runaway political locomotive. He claims November’s outcomes are “almost insignificant” because regardless of which party maintains a grip on the Senate, Trump’s regional war footing is entirely locked in. If triumphant Democrats attempt to “impeach Donald Trump,” it wouldn’t change a thing because “he still has the power to fight this war to the bitter end; if he gets impeached, you can imagine he’d be even more determined to fight this war.”
No matter who claims victory in the upcoming midterms, the viral historian warned that the public should brace for “lots of surprises.” But that is just the tip of the iceberg.
“By 2027, you should have the framework for the the national draft already in place,” he said, adding that next year, “ICE will be much more powerful than people imagine. They wanted to put the National Guard in all major cities in America because they’re preparing for economic collapse, financial collapse, national draft and they’ll need law enforcement and the National Guard in all the major cities, especially in Democratic cities like Los Angeles, Boston and Chicago where they expect the resistance to be the greatest.”
Xueqin builds his forecasts on cold, hard data rather than political bias using game theory—the clinical mathematical framework that tracks how rival power players manipulate one another. “In thinking about their [others] choices, you must recognize that they are thinking about yours, and in turn trying to take into account your thinking about their thinking, and so on,” Professor Avinash Dixit explained, PBS reported.
Next calendar year, Xueqin predicted that “all the ingredients for civil war should already be in place,” thanks to “nationwide discontent, riots, and protests and insurgencies.”
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