Iranian Airspace Empties – Only Flights from China and Russia Identified Over Iran

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Iranian Airspace Empties – Only Flights from China and Russia Identified Over Iran

The skies over Iran have grown unusually quiet, a development some observers are comparing to the period preceding the collapse of Venezuela’s government under Nicolás Maduro. A snapshot from FlightAware taken at approximately 8:00 p.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday, January 14, 2026, showed almost no commercial air traffic over Iranian airspace.

At the same time, protests inside Iran appear to be growing. Night after night, crowds in major cities — including Tehran — are reportedly increasing in size. Demonstrators are calling for the Islamic regime to leave power permanently, with chants and gatherings continuing despite an ongoing security crackdown.

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According to claims circulating from regional security sources, Tehran may be approaching a critical turning point. A senior Israeli defense official was quoted as saying that the Islamic regime’s days — or even hours — may be numbered.

“There will be no Iranian regime. The clock is running.”

The official reportedly described a scenario in which an American-led military operation, supported by Israel, would overwhelm the regime, stating that it “stands no chance.” These statements have not been independently confirmed.

As protests spread, reports claim that regime forces have fired on demonstrators, further inflaming public anger. Meanwhile, voices within Israel’s security establishment are said to be openly discussing the possibility that Iran’s ruling system is nearing collapse.

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Sources familiar with internal developments in Iran allege that the government is fracturing from within:

Defections are reportedly beginning

Political and military elites are described as increasingly demoralized

Security forces are said to be divided

Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s inner circle is rumored to be preparing exit plans

Observers describe these signs as consistent with late-stage regime instability. Protesters appear increasingly emboldened, and international attention is intensifying.

Some analysts argue this moment goes beyond regional politics, drawing comparisons to Venezuela shortly before its airspace fell largely silent. Similar patterns are now being noted over Iran. At one point, only two aircraft were reportedly visible over the country, both originating from China near Hong Kong. By approximately 9:15 p.m. Eastern Time, just one aircraft — arriving from Russia — was observed in Iranian airspace.

Supporters of this interpretation view the near-empty skies as a potential signal of growing isolation and uncertainty surrounding the regime’s future.

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